Playing 120-240 ante 25 with about 200 people left in $11 rebuy on FT. 640 people started.
Brand new to table; 2nd pos(12k), 3rd pos(7k), button(11k) and sb(5k) limp, BB (me- 5300) check with 67o. The pot has 1425.
Flop comes Kd7d6d
sb checks, I check bottom two (I check to evaluate the flop action. Likely call a small bet and lead allin for my stack on the turn if a diamond doesnt hit and versus one opponent, in these limped hands, it is much more likely that someone is limping with something suited, not knowing this table I assume someone could have done so) 2nd pos bets 720, 3rd pos calls, button folds and (to my surprise) the sb raises to 1940.WOW. Seems like an obvious fold to me but I wanted to re-evaluate before I folded.
- I checked the flop, assuming someone to bet with a big diamond or top pair, intending to call and ship it on a brick turn. 2nd pos did so by betting 720. If it folds to me I will call and lead allin on the turn for about 4400 if a brick hits.
- when 3rd pos flats my first thought is the nuts, however the speed in which he did so (very fast, less than 2 seconds) makes me feel like he has a strong hand, like KxQd but that he doesn't want to built a massive pot yet. My plan still seems to be okay, though I suppose a call on the flop is pretty weak considering the possible four cards my opponents are now holding to either have me beat or draw vs me. I think I will probably fold or move in on the flop, hopefully making a good King/diamond fold in the 2nd pos by the squeezeish play and only have to worry about 3rd pos.
- when the sb raises to 1920 of his 5k, it seems pretty obvious he has the nuts; could he not?I can't think of any other hand I would make this move with (perhaps the made Qhigh flush). I think for ten seconds (ofcourse, processing all this as I go) and fold. What's interesting is what happens after I fold.
- 2nd pos then moves allin for his 12k total, 3rd pos thinks for five seconds and stacks for his 7k and the sb (basically committed with any live hand) stacks for his last 3k.
- Could I have possibly folded the 4th best hand?!
2nd pos shows Jd10d. for the third nuts.
3rd pos shows 77 for middle set.
sb shows (a massive surprise) Ad4c!
So I folded the third best hand and would be needed perfect perfect 6,6. to win. The turn was a 6 and the river As. 3rd pos took a massive pot and sb was knocked out. Seems as though, if the sb hadn't made that weird raise, assuming that no one had a made hand, I would have gone broke too.
An interesting hand for sure, but the way it played out was what made it so cool, I avoided busting by someone else making a mistake (not the worst mistake I've ever seen ofcourse. If their goal was to get it allin on the flop, they did. And hands opened it was probably a slightly negative equity play. I think with a flop like that, a bet and a call in front, you must assume at least one, probably two outs (diamonds) are gone from you. But if you want to make things happen and get some chips middle of a tourney, just tell me ahead of time so I can fold my bottom two!!
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